Summary
-
One analyst predicts the Switch 2 will sell 4.3 million units in the US in 2025, assuming it launches in the first half of the year.
-
The analyst believes the Switch 2 will be strong, but the PS5 may be on top for console sales in the US.
-
Nintendo Switch 2 buzz is high, but success may depend on launch timing, hardware quality and the competitiveness of the game lineup.
Gaming analyst Mat Piscatella shares predictions that Nintendo Switch 2 will sell around 4.3 million units by 2025. By the end of 2017, the original Nintendo Switch had sold 4.8 million units, surpassing the company's expectations at the time. To satisfy the high demand, Nintendo flew in copies of the Switch. Fans are hopeful that this time Nintendo has anticipated this type of problem and planned accordingly.
Many gamers are waiting to see when Nintendo's next system is announced. The Switch 2 routinely trends on social media, often because people are just looking forward to its announcement, but this hype may not directly translate into sales. There are many factors that could determine how the Switch 2 fares in 2025, given that it launches within the year. Key factors seem to be timing, as well as the console's playlist.

Family
Rumor: “Nintendo Switch 2 Replica” has been spotted by Accessory Maker
New images reportedly show a very accurate replica of the Nintendo Switch 2 created by a popular console accessory manufacturer.
Circana video game analyst Mat Piscatella said he expects the Nintendo Switch to sell 4.3 million units in the US in 2025, assuming it launches in the first half of the year. Many expect the Nintendo Switch 2 to launch in April 2025, just before summer, which would allow sales to surge during Japan's Golden Week holiday season and the season's general festivities worldwide.
Analysts predict 4.3 million Switch 2 sales in 2025
Given how an announcement looks to be coming soon (but who knows) – I have Nintendo's next hardware unit selling 4.3 million units in the US in 2025 (assuming 1H launch), accounting for about 1/3 of all video game console hardware units sold during the year (excluding laptops). — Mat Piscatella (@matpiscatella.bsky.social) 2025-01-08T16:09:43.754Z
Piscatella expands on these predictions, noting that in the US he believes the Switch 2 will account for 1/3 of all video game hardware sales, outside of portable PC devices like the Steam Deck or ROG Ally. Total. He notes an expectation of supply constraints for the Switch 2 hardware after huge initial demand, though he's unsure what manufacturing resources Nintendo has allocated to the system. It's possible that Nintendo has stockpiled Switch 2 resources to prevent a product shortage that runs parallel to the launch of the original Switch or PS5's.
Although Mat Piscatella believes that the Switch 2 will sell well, he predicts that the PlayStation 5 will manage to top the game console hardware sales in the US. There is a lot of hype for the Nintendo Switch 2, which could help sales. But in addition to other hotly anticipated titles that will launch on PS5 this year, Grand Theft Auto 6 currently slated for a 2025 release, it could be a big system seller that could leapfrog Nintendo systems. There's plenty of excitement surrounding the Switch 2, though, and depending on how impressive the Switch 2 hardware is alongside its launch lineup, it could lead the pack.

Nintendo Switch
The Nintendo Switch is a hybrid console launched in 2017, which can be played in handheld mode or docked to a television. The Switch Lite, a handheld model, followed in 2019, with an OLED update coming in 2021.