What to expect from Baldur's Gate 3's Black Friday sale

With the holiday season creeping up, Baldur's Gate 3 is once again at the top of many holiday wish lists. Whether someone is a first-time player finally ready to see what the hype is all about or a seasoned adventurer looking at a second copy for a couch co-op partner, the same question reoccurs every November since 2023: Will Baldur's Gate 3 go on sale for black friday, and if so by how much?

For would-be Baldurians seeking an answer, the likely answer lies in the information we have. If the information turns out to be correct, a discount sometime during the holiday season is very likely. There's a catch, though: Black Friday may not fall in this window.

The price history below only reflects fluctuations due to Steam discounts. It excludes sales on PS5, Xbox and other platforms.

Baldur's Gate 3 price history

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Baldur's Gate 3 launched to critical acclaim in August 2023 and took home nearly every major Game of the Year award. For over a year, Larian Studios has barely budged on discounts, keeping the standard price of $59.99 USD intact with only modest reductions. But as the game matured and entered its second year on the market, sales became more frequent and deeper. Below is a timeline for BG3known price drops on Steam so far:

Winter sale 2023 (December 21): $53.00 (10%)
Spring Sale 2024 (March): $53.00 (10%)
May 16, 2024: $50.99 (15%)
Summer sale 2024 (June 27): $47.99 (20%)
September 5, 2024: $47.99 (20%)
November 4, 2024: $47.99 (20%)
Autumn sale 2024 (Nov 27): $47.99 (20%) — Coincided with Black Friday 2024
Winter Sale 2024 (December 19): $47.99 (20%)
Couch Co-Op Fest (February 10, 2025): $47.99 (20%)
Spring sale 2025 (March 13): $47.99 (20%)
April 7, 2025: $47.99 (20%)
May 19, 2025: $47.99 (20%)
Summer sale 2025 (June 26): $47.99 (20%)
1 September 2025: $44.99 (25%) — New lowest price ever
Autumn sale 2025 (September 19): $44.99 (25%) — Earliest Steam Fall Sale yet

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This price pattern tells a clear story. Larian has gradually increased the discount threshold over time, settling at 20% as the standard and 25% as the deepest discount recorded to date.

Will Baldur's Gate 3 be on sale for Black Friday 2025?

The prediction of whether Baldur's Gate 3 will have a Black Friday deal has has become increasingly complicated thanks to the shift in Steam's sales calendar. Unlike many games that run explicit Black Friday promotions, Baldur's Gate 3s first and only Black Friday deal was through Steam's Fall Sale. And coincidence does not mean correlation in this case. In 2024, the Fall Sale coincided perfectly with the Black Friday shopping window, offering players a 20% discount and perhaps even the hope of a repeat Black Friday sale. However, the fall streak of 2025 started much earlier than usual, on September 19, not at the end of November.

What this likely means for Black Friday 2025

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Based on past patterns, a Black Friday discount is still possible, but not guaranteed. In this case, a sale must be explicitly linked to Black Friday or another theme. A themed sale separate from Steam's calendar has been happening lately:

Back to Academy Sale: started September 1, 2025 (25% discount)
Easter sale: started April 7, 2025 (20%)
Anniversary Sale: started 5 September 2024 (20%)

But players who want to score Baldur's Gate 3 on sale this holiday season don't worry. The most reliable discount for BG3 each year has coincided with Steam's Seasonal Sale, and its upcoming is Steam's Winter Sale. This year, the 2025 Steam Winter Sale runs from December 18, 2025, through January 5, 2026. This is historically Steam's biggest sale of the year, with many developers pricing games at their lowest prices. Because Baldur's Gate 3 has twice set new low prices in 2025, this year's Winter Sale may result in better savings compared to last year.

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A Black Friday sale for Baldur's Gate 3 could happen due to seasonal trends, but a familiar 20-25% reduction attached to a Steam sale is more reliable than a surprise deal at this point. For many players, it's worth waiting to spend a little less to step into Faerun for the first time. And for anyone eager to explore the threats of the Absolute or romance BG3 character at a discount during the final days of the Thanksgiving holiday, the dice may roll a Nat 20 on savings.